nvidia's calm before the storm: earnings report preview

2025-05-22 nvidia

Santa Clara, Thursday, 22 May 2025.
nvidia’s stock is holding steady as investors await the fiscal q1 2026 earnings report next week. Wall street anticipates earnings per share of 88 cents, projecting a 44% year-over-year revenue surge to $43.26 billion. However, some analysts doubt a positive surprise, referencing ceo jensen huang’s criticism of us chip export limits to china. huang stated that nvidia’s market share in china has dropped from 95% to 50% in the last four years.

nvidia’s calm before the storm: earnings report preview

Nvidia’s stock is holding steady as investors await the fiscal q1 2026 earnings report next week [1]. Wall street anticipates earnings per share of 88 cents, projecting a 44% year-over-year revenue surge to $43.26 billion [1]. However, some analysts doubt a positive surprise, referencing ceo jensen huang’s criticism of us chip export limits to china [1][7]. Huang stated that nvidia’s market share in china has dropped from 95% to 50% in the last four years [1][7].

analyst perspectives on nvda

The market is keenly awaiting nvidia’s quarterly results, scheduled for release after market close on may 28 [1]. TD Cowen analyst Joshua Buchalter suggests that the earnings report may not significantly impact nvidia’s stock [1]. Citi analyst Atif Malik offers a more optimistic outlook, rating nvidia stock as a ‘buy’ with a price target of $150 [1]. IBD MarketSurge charts indicate nvidia stock is in a 20-week consolidation pattern, identifying a buy point at $153.13 [1].

export control concerns

Jensen Huang voiced concerns regarding the impact of U.S. export controls, noting that these restrictions have inadvertently spurred china to develop its own ai technology [1]. He also highlighted that nvidia has lost market share to domestic competitors in china as a result [1]. Echoing these sentiments, on May 21, a White House official affirmed that the Trump administration intends to maintain restrictions on ai chip exports to China, citing ongoing security risks [1].

market reaction and trading patterns

Nvidia’s stock movements reflect investor uncertainty [1]. For the past week, the stock has traded sideways as the q1 earnings report approaches [1]. On May 20, nvidia stock experienced a 1.9% decrease, closing at $131.80 [1]. Nvidia’s announcements at the Computex trade show in Taiwan earlier in May did little to sway investors [1]. These trading patterns underscore the market’s sensitivity to both internal developments and external pressures, such as trade policies [GPT].

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